Economy

Markets
Polymarket Letting Users Make Bets on Private Company Fortunes
May 19, 2026

Polymarket has introduced what it calls the first prediction markets connected to private company performance. These new offerings, launched Tuesday (May 19), are designed to let users bid on events at “some of the most sought-after private companies,” while also giving institutional investors another signal as to how...

Economy
AWS Chief Rejects Notion of AI-Driven Job Wipeout
May 18, 2026

Some tech executives warn that artificial intelligence (AI) will usher in mass waves of layoffs. Amazon Web Services (AWS) CEO Matt Garman is not one of them. “Everybody’s entitled to their opinion, but I don’t think that’s true,” Garman told the Wall Street Journal (WSJ)...

Economy
Physical Goods Firms Are Learning to Live Without a Clear Forecast
May 15, 2026

The modern economy increasingly runs on two separate operating systems. One is digital, asset-light and geographically fluid. The other is physical, capital-intensive and exposed to every fracture line in the global order. New findings in the April 2026 edition of The 2026 Certainty Project from...

Economy
Retail Sales Growth Masks Consumer Pullback Across Key Categories
May 14, 2026

Retail sales rose again in April, but the latest government data showed consumers continuing to shift spending toward necessities while pulling back in several categories tied to discretionary purchases and larger household items. Advance estimates from the Census Bureau on Thursday (May 14) showed retail...

Economy
Inflation Makes Cash Flow the New Consumer Stress Point
May 12, 2026

Inflation accelerated again in April, intensifying pressure on consumers who were already struggling to keep pace with rising costs for food, housing and healthcare. The latest Consumer Price Index report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, released Tuesday (May 12), showed inflation rising 3.8% year...

Economy
Labor Economy Workers Keep the Jobs Market Moving
May 08, 2026

The labor market added jobs at a moderate pace in April, but the latest employment data also underscored a reality that has increasingly defined the U.S. economy. Front-line workers remain central to hiring growth even as many balance cautious optimism with concerns about long-term stability....

Economy
Household Inflation Anxiety Edges Higher in NY Fed Poll
May 07, 2026

Consumers are more pessimistic and more uncertain about the rate of inflation over the next year than they were a month ago, according to data released Thursday (May 7) by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Households’ inflation expectations at the one-year-ahead horizon increased...

Economy
Hiring Surge Ends Yearlong Labor Market Slump
May 05, 2026

The number of hires increased to 5.6 million in March, a figure that was 655,000 higher than the previous month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) said in a Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary (JOLTS) report released Tuesday (May 5). The BLS highlighted 165,000...

Economy
Wage Slowdown Leaves Gig Work Filling Pay Gaps
May 03, 2026

Wage growth is easing across the private sector, and the latest Employment Cost Index makes clear the deceleration is no longer a blip. Private-sector wages and salaries rose 0.7% in the first quarter, according to data released April 30 from the Bureau of Labor Statistics....