Recession news and trends

Goldman: Recession Seems Less Likely After Jobs/Sales Reports
Economy // August 18, 2024

Economists at Goldman Sachs have lowered the likelihood of a U.S. recession. As Bloomberg News reported Saturday (Aug. 17), the banking giant now gives an economic downturn a 20% chance of happening, down from 25%, based on recent retail sales and unemployment claims data. And...

Fed Governor: Inflation Still at ‘Uncomfortable’ Level
Economy // August 11, 2024

Despite some progress, Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman says inflation remains “uncomfortably above” 2%. “Should the incoming data continue to show that inflation is moving sustainably toward our 2% goal, it will become appropriate to gradually lower the federal funds rate to prevent monetary policy...

Maersk: Demand for Shipping Shows No Signs of Potential Recession
Shipping // August 07, 2024

Contrary to widespread worries about a potential economic slowdown, shipping giant Maersk has reportedly seen no signs of a U.S. recession. Judging by the demand for shipping containers, the amount of goods being stored before delivery or processing, and the number of purchase orders from importers...

Employment Trends Index Points to Gloomier Times Ahead for Already-Stretched Households
Economy // August 05, 2024

On a day when a stock market rout promised to become a full-fledged bloodbath, and as recession fears mounted, the latest spate of economic data on employment is proving to be grist for a gloomy mill. Simply put, as employment data continues to come in...

Interviews & Exclusives
Spending Caution Sets In as Consumers Weigh Economic Outlook

January 29, 2025
The state and stability of one’s job — and by extension, earnings prospects — lies at the heart of consumers’ confidence over their own financial condition, both in the present and in the future. Recent data — from both PYMNTS Intelligence and from surveys elsewhere about over consumer confidence — indicate that there’s a bit […]

Main Street Hospitality SMBs Most Optimistic About the Economy

August 23, 2023
Across the United States, ongoing fears that the economy may still be running too hot remain elevated, with most Main Street small- to medium-sized businesses (SMBs) fearing the worst. The...

MENA’s AgriTech Revolution Captures VC Attention and Dollars

May 04, 2023
Total investment raised by startups in the Middle East and North Africa region (MENA) and broader Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) area crossed the $3 billion mark in 2022 as investors...

Discount Subscriptions Combine Consumers’ Two Favorite Features: Convenience and Savings

May 02, 2023
Subscriptions considered discretionary were among the first to go when consumers began slashing their budgets and their providers have generally struggled since. Although there have been some exceptions to this...

Quick Reads
Goldman: Recession Seems Less Likely After Jobs/Sales Reports

August 18, 2024
Economists at Goldman Sachs have lowered the likelihood of a U.S. recession. As Bloomberg News reported Saturday (Aug. 17), the banking giant now gives an economic downturn a 20% chance of happening, down from 25%, based on recent retail sales and unemployment claims data. And assuming the next jobs report — set to be released […]

Fed Governor: Inflation Still at ‘Uncomfortable’ Level

August 11, 2024
Despite some progress, Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman says inflation remains “uncomfortably above” 2%. “Should the incoming data continue to show that inflation is moving sustainably toward our 2% goal,...

Maersk: Demand for Shipping Shows No Signs of Potential Recession

August 07, 2024
Contrary to widespread worries about a potential economic slowdown, shipping giant Maersk has reportedly seen no signs of a U.S. recession. Judging by the demand for shipping containers, the amount of...

JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon Says US Economic Boom ‘Unbelievable’

April 23, 2024
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon reportedly said Tuesday (April 23) that the U.S. economic boom is “unbelievable.” Speaking at an event at The Economic Club of New York, Dimon said employment is strong, consumer...